{"id":17460,"date":"2022-04-13T09:17:20","date_gmt":"2022-04-13T13:17:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/?p=17460"},"modified":"2022-04-13T09:17:20","modified_gmt":"2022-04-13T13:17:20","slug":"chambers-annual-economic-forecast-breakfast-gives-insights-to-the-economic-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/es\/chambers-annual-economic-forecast-breakfast-gives-insights-to-the-economic-future\/","title":{"rendered":"Chamber\u2019s Annual Economic Forecast Breakfast Gives Insights to the Economic Future"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Written by Barry Scanlon<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Stock market instability. Rising interest rates. Signs of inflation. The Russian invasion of Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>And a stubborn pandemic which isn\u2019t going away.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019ve certainly weathered many storms since our last time together two years ago,\u201d said Ed Manzi, the chairman and chief executive officer at Fidelity Bank, in welcoming remarks. \u201cBut just as Fidelity Bank provides clarity, confidence and care for our clients, you have also done the same for your colleagues, friends and neighbors which has made our communities stronger despite the challenges presented before us.\u201d<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_17464\" style=\"width: 576px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-17464\" class=\"wp-image-17464\" src=\"https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-300x157.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"566\" height=\"297\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-1030x541.jpg 1030w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-768x403.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-1536x806.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-2048x1075.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-1500x787.jpg 1500w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-705x370.jpg 705w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-450x236.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/MG_5930-scaled.jpg 2000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 566px) 100vw, 566px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-17464\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Economic Forecast Breakfast crowd.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Despite plenty of obstacles, there was a profound sense of optimism at the\u00a0Chamber\u2019s Annual\u00a0Economic Forecast Breakfast\u00a0held on Friday, April 8<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0at Great Wolf Lodge in Fitchburg.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou persevered before and you\u2019re expected to do it again. Very inspiring,\u201d Manzi told a gathering of more than 200.<\/p>\n<p>Business leaders from the region gathered to learn the results of a Regional Economic Outlook Survey, which was compiled from feedback from 519 consumers and 200 business leaders in Central\u00a0Massachusetts.<\/p>\n<p>Generally, the survey produced optimistic results from employees and business leaders. The biggest concerns among consumers\/employees is inflation (20%) and the effects of COVID-19 (17%). For business leaders, the availability of skilled labor (28%) was the greatest concern, followed by inflation (18%).<\/p>\n<p>The survey yielded signs of optimism, however. A majority (53%) of business owners, presidents or managers said they would increase pay to their employees this year, while 30 percent said they planned to spend more over the next 12 months.<\/p>\n<p>Three speakers enlightened the audience &#8211; Dr. Nancy Murray, Fitchburg State University\u2019s dean of the School of Education; Dr. Mark Melnik, the director of Economic &amp; Public Policy Research at the UMass Donahue Institute; and Dr. Mahesh Ramachandran, the chief economist for the Executive Officer of Labor and Workforce Development.<\/p>\n<p>Murray said Fitchburg State is meeting the challenge of producing students ready to enter the workplace by offering new majors and examining a MassHire survey which revealed, among other things, that access to childcare is preventing some people from returning to jobs. Murray said FSU is creating pathways in the STEM field and English for students to transfer to the school from Mount Wachusett Community College and supportive pathways for students to transfer from Fitchburg High to FSU.<\/p>\n<p>Murray urged business leaders to \u201cthink outside the box\u201d as they look to the rest of 2022 and beyond.<\/p>\n<p>Melnik told the audience that \u201cconditions on the ground\u201d are shifting in Massachusetts and the North Central region from pre-pandemic days to the world going forward. Things are improving in the state, he said, noting that the unemployment rate in Massachusetts was 16.4 percent in April 2020. Today it is 4.7 percent, although the national average is 3.8. The COVID recession is the most uneven recession on record.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGrowing labor supply is critical for Massachusetts,\u201d said Melnik, pointing out that in 2021, for the first time, the number of deaths in Massachusetts surpassed the number of births.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_17465\" style=\"width: 355px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-17465\" class=\"wp-image-17465\" src=\"https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"345\" height=\"230\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-1030x687.jpg 1030w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-1500x1000.jpg 1500w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-705x470.jpg 705w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-450x300.jpg 450w, https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/A3A0046-scaled.jpg 2000w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 345px) 100vw, 345px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-17465\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Chris McCarthy, Fidelity Bank\u2019s president and chief operating officer presents the Economic Survey results.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Melnik said 9,400 jobs in the North Central region were lost during the pandemic, 7,000 of which have been recovered.<\/p>\n<p>Ramachandran said Massachusetts is on the road to recovery, though the recovery is uneven due to a mismatch between skills demanded and skills available. The Leominster-Gardner area has a 5.2 percent unemployment rate, a far cry from the 17.6 percent rate in April 2020. There are plenty of opportunities for growth in healthcare, professional, scientific and technical service jobs, according to Ramachandran.<\/p>\n<p>There were plenty of graphs and PowerPoint slides filled with numbers. But there was also a palpable sense that it was great for business leaders to see each other again. Two of the speakers said they were worried about forgetting how to tie their ties, drawing laughs from the audience.<\/p>\n<p>The COVID-19 pandemic caused the 2020 in-person gathering to be canceled and the 2021 event shifted to online.\u00a0The face-to-face gathering in a packed ballroom for the Economic Forecast Breakfast was a welcome sight for many weary from constant Zoom meetings.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s good to be with people again,\u201d said Chris McCarthy, Fidelity Bank\u2019s president and chief operating officer. \u201cWhile our Economic Forecast survey results included new categories related to the pandemic and how we foresee the next year as we move forward in the new normal, these results prove our region is resilient, strong and certainly optimistic that better days are ahead.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The\u00a0weather seemed to mirror the mood of business leaders weary from two years of unique challenges but optimistic about the future. Morning rain and plenty of clouds &#8211; with clearing skies and sunshine predicted for the afternoon.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>View the presenters presentations <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northcentralmass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/ECON-PRES-2022.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Written by Barry Scanlon Stock market instability. Rising interest rates. Signs of inflation. The Russian invasion of Ukraine. And a stubborn pandemic which isn\u2019t going away. \u201cWe\u2019ve certainly weathered many storms since our last time together two years ago,\u201d said Ed Manzi, the chairman and chief executive officer at Fidelity Bank, in welcoming remarks. \u201cBut [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17461,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17460","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chamber\u2019s Annual Economic Forecast Breakfast Gives Insights to the Economic Future &#187; North Central Massachusetts Chamber of Commerce<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Written by Barry Scanlon Stock market instability. 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